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Bayesian Inference - Estimating the Parameter

· Lorenzo Drumond

Assuming we observe events that follow a particular distribution, like exponential bayesian-inference-continuous-distributions, how do we determine λ, its parameter?

This question is what motivates statistics. In the real world, λ is hidden from us. We see only Z, and must go backwards to try and determine λ. The problem is difficult because there is no one-to-one mapping from Z to λ. Many different methods have been created to solve the problem of estimating λ, but since it is never actually observed, no one can say for certain which method is best!

Bayesian inference is concerned with beliefs about what λ might be. Rather than try to guess it exactly, we can only talk about what λ is likely to be by assigning a probability distribution to λ

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